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Rapid summer Russian Arctic sea-ice loss enhances the risk of recent Eastern Siberian wildfires 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2024, 卷号: 15, 期号: 1, 页码: 17
作者:  Luo, Binhe;  Luo, Dehai;  Dai, Aiguo;  Xiao, Cunde;  Simmonds, Ian;  Hanna, Edward;  Overland, James;  Shi, Jiaqi;  Chen, Xiaodan;  Yao, Yao;  Duan, Wansuo;  Liu, Yimin;  Zhang, Qiang;  Xu, Xiyan;  Diao, Yina;  Jiang, Zhina;  Gong, Tingting
收藏  |  浏览/下载：38/0  |  提交时间：2024/09/02
A multi-model prediction system for ENSO 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2023, 页码: 10
作者:  Liu, Ting;  Gao, Yanqiu;  Song, Xunshu;  Gao, Chuan;  Tao, Lingjiang;  Tang, Youmin;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Chen, Dake
收藏  |  浏览/下载：183/0  |  提交时间：2023/12/13
MME  ENSO  Prediction  
Exploring sensitive area in the tropical Indian Ocean for El Nino prediction: implication for targeted observation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY, 2020, 卷号: 38, 期号: 6, 页码: 1602-1615
作者:  Zhou Qian;  Duan Wansuo;  Hu Junya
Adobe PDF(1376Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：213/0  |  提交时间：2021/04/21
tropical Indian Ocean  El Niñ  o prediction  sensitive area  targeted observation  
Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 53, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 1063-1076
作者:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
Adobe PDF(3621Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：349/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/29
La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：536/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 60, 期号: 11, 页码: 2001-2012
作者:  Mu Mu;  Duan WanSuo;  Tang YouMin
Adobe PDF(817Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：281/2  |  提交时间：2018/01/11
Atmosphere-ocean  Predictability  Intrinsic Predictability Limit  Ensemble Forecast  
Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipole event predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 卷号: 48, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 1173-1185
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(5307Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：278/0  |  提交时间：2017/04/05
Indian Ocean Dipole  Sensitive Areas  Winter Predictability Barrier  Initial Errors  
Influence of positive and negative Indian Ocean Dipoles on ENSO via the Indonesian Throughflow: Results from sensitivity experiments 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2015, 卷号: 32, 期号: 6, 页码: 783-793
作者:  Zhou Qian;  Duan Wansuo;  Mu Mu;  Feng Rong
Adobe PDF(2994Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：251/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/15
Iod  Pacific Ocean  Enso  Indonesian Throughflow  
Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2015, 卷号: 2, 期号: 2, 页码: 226-236
作者:  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Chen, Dake;  Yu, Weidong
Adobe PDF(436Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：325/3  |  提交时间：2015/07/27
Atmosphere  Ocean  Predictability  Target Observation  
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2358Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：309/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth