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Sea Surface Salinity Strongly Weakens ENSO Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2023, 卷号: 50, 期号: 23, 页码: 11
作者:  Pang, Yiqun;  Jin, Yishuai;  Zhao, Yingying;  Chen, Xianyao;  Li, Xueqi;  Liu, Ting;  Hu, Junya
Adobe PDF(7167Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：102/0  |  提交时间：2024/04/07
ENSO  spring predictability barrier  sea surface salinity  optimal initial structure  
Recent Progress in Applications of the Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation Approach to Atmosphere-Ocean Sciences 期刊论文
CHINESE ANNALS OF MATHEMATICS SERIES B, 2022, 卷号: 43, 期号: 6, 页码: 1033-1048
作者:  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun;  Wang, Qiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载：66/0  |  提交时间：2023/11/16
Conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation  Atmosphere  Ocean  Targeted observation  Predictability  
Optimal Precursor Triggering Kuroshio Large Meander Decay Obtained in a Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2022, 卷号: 127, 期号: 6, 页码: 18
作者:  Liu, Xia;  Wang, Qiang;  Zhang, Hui
Adobe PDF(5258Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：290/0  |  提交时间：2022/07/18
predictability  large meander decay  optimal precursor  conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation  
Predictability and error growth dynamics of the Kuroshio Extension state transition process in an eddy-resolving regional ocean model 期刊论文
OCEAN MODELLING, 2020, 卷号: 153, 页码: 13
作者:  Geng, Yu;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Zhang, Kun
Adobe PDF(11651Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：292/0  |  提交时间：2020/10/26
Kuroshio Extension  Predictability  Initial error  
Season-dependent predictability and error growth dynamics for La Nina predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 53, 期号: 1-2, 页码: 1063-1076
作者:  Hu, Junya;  Duan, Wansuo;  Zhou, Qian
Adobe PDF(3621Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：349/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/29
La Nina events  Spring predictability barrier  Initial errors  
Model parameter-related optimal perturbations and their contributions to El Nino prediction errors 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 卷号: 52, 期号: 3-4, 页码: 1425-1441
作者:  Tao, Ling-Jiang;  Gao, Chuan;  Zhang, Rong-Hua
Adobe PDF(6712Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：252/0  |  提交时间：2019/05/15
Intermediate coupled model  CNOP approach  Model parameters  El Nino predictability  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：536/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
Optimal Initial Error Growth in the Prediction of the Kuroshio Large Meander Based on a High-resolution Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 11, 页码: 1362-1372
作者:  Li, Xia;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(16199Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：442/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
Kuroshio large meander  predictability  ROMS  optimal initial error growth  
The IOD-ENSO precursory teleconnection over the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean: dynamics and long-term trends under global warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY, 2018, 卷号: 36, 期号: 1, 页码: 4-19
作者:  Yuan Dongliang;  Hu Xiaoyue;  Xu Peng;  Zhao Xia;  Masumoto, Yukio;  Han Weiqing
Adobe PDF(4518Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：502/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/21
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)  El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)  oceanic channel  Indonesian Throughflow  ENSO predictability  
The predictability of atmospheric and oceanic motions: Retrospect and prospects 期刊论文
SCIENCE CHINA-EARTH SCIENCES, 2017, 卷号: 60, 期号: 11, 页码: 2001-2012
作者:  Mu Mu;  Duan WanSuo;  Tang YouMin
Adobe PDF(817Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：282/2  |  提交时间：2018/01/11
Atmosphere-ocean  Predictability  Intrinsic Predictability Limit  Ensemble Forecast