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Sea Surface Salinity Strongly Weakens ENSO Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2023, 卷号: 50, 期号: 23, 页码: 11
作者:  Pang, Yiqun;  Jin, Yishuai;  Zhao, Yingying;  Chen, Xianyao;  Li, Xueqi;  Liu, Ting;  Hu, Junya
Adobe PDF(7167Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：102/0  |  提交时间：2024/04/07
ENSO  spring predictability barrier  sea surface salinity  optimal initial structure  
Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：536/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
The IOD-ENSO precursory teleconnection over the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean: dynamics and long-term trends under global warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY, 2018, 卷号: 36, 期号: 1, 页码: 4-19
作者:  Yuan Dongliang;  Hu Xiaoyue;  Xu Peng;  Zhao Xia;  Masumoto, Yukio;  Han Weiqing
Adobe PDF(4518Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：503/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/21
Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)  El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)  oceanic channel  Indonesian Throughflow  ENSO predictability  
Climate variability and predictability associated with the Indo-Pacific Oceanic Channel Dynamics in the CCSM4 Coupled System Model 期刊论文
CHINESE JOURNAL OF OCEANOLOGY AND LIMNOLOGY, 2017, 卷号: 35, 期号: 1, 页码: 23-38
作者:  Yuan Dongliang;  Xu Peng;  Xu Tengfei
Adobe PDF(4745Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：404/0  |  提交时间：2017/03/22
Indian Ocean Dipole  El Nino-southern Oscillations (Enso)  Oceanic Channel  Community Climate System Model (Ccsm4)  Indonesian Throughflow  Enso Predictability  
Role of parameter errors in the spring predictability barrier for ENSO events in the Zebiak-Cane model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2014, 卷号: 31, 期号: 3, 页码: 647-656
作者:  Yu Liang;  Mu Mu;  Yu, Yanshan;  Mu, M (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(500Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：300/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Enso Predictability  Spring Predictability Barrier  Initial Errors  Parameter Errors  Error Growth  
A successful real-time forecast of the 2010–11 La Nina event 期刊论文
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2013, 期号: 3, 页码: 1108
作者:  Zhang Ronghua;  Zheng Fei;  Zhu Jiang;  Wang Zhanggui
Adobe PDF(1178Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：413/1  |  提交时间：2014/08/28
Intermediate Coupled Model  Tropical Pacific-ocean  El-nino  Southern-oscillation  Entrainment Temperature  Enso  Prediction  Predictability  Climate  System  
Contribution of the location and spatial pattern of initial error to uncertainties in El Nino predictions 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2012, 卷号: 117, 页码: C06018
作者:  Yu, Yanshan;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Gong, Tingting;  Gong, TT (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Wave Studies, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(1637Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：304/0  |  提交时间：2013/09/24
Sea-surface Temperature  Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Singular Vector Analysis  Enso Predictability  Coupled Model  Thermohaline Circulation  Southern Oscillation  Optimal-growth  Stability  Sensitivity  
Does Model Parameter Error Cause a Significant "Spring Predictability Barrier" for El Nino Events in the Zebiak-Cane Model? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2012, 卷号: 25, 期号: 4, 页码: 1263-1277
作者:  Yu, Yanshan;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, Wansuo;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, POB 9804, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(1384Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：397/0  |  提交时间：2013/09/24
Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation  Ocean-atmosphere Model  General-circulation Model  Sea-surface Temperature  Southern Oscillation  Coupled Model  Thermohaline Circulation  Enso Predictability  Initial Conditions  Data Assimilation  
Ensemble Hindcasts of ENSO Events over the Past 120 Years Using a Large Number of Ensembles 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2009, 卷号: 26, 期号: 2, 页码: 359-372
作者:  Zheng Fei;  Zhu Jiang;  Wang Hui;  Zhang Ronghua
Adobe PDF(1032Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：391/0  |  提交时间：2014/08/26
Enso  Ensemble Prediction System  Interdecadal Predictability  Hindcast  
Retrospective El Nino forecasts using an improved intermediate coupled model 期刊论文
MONTHLY WEATHER REVIEW, 2005, 卷号: 133, 期号: 9, 页码: 2777-2802
作者:  Zhang Ronghua;  Zebiak SE;  Kleeman R;  Keenlyside N
Adobe PDF(5246Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：318/0  |  提交时间：2014/08/27
Ocean-atmosphere Model  Interannual Variability  Southern Oscillation  Tropical Pacific  Part Ii  Enso  Prediction  Predictability  Temperature  Simulation