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Progress in ENSO prediction and predictability study 期刊论文
NATIONAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 2018, 卷号: 5, 期号: 6, 页码: 826-839
作者:  Tang, Youmin;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Liu, Ting;  Duan, Wansuo;  Yang, Dejian;  Zheng, Fei;  Ren, Hongli;  Lian, Tao;  Gao, Chuan;  Chen, Dake;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(1925Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：536/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
ENSO prediction and predictability  coupled model  ensemble prediction  optimal error growth  probabilistic prediction  
Optimal Initial Error Growth in the Prediction of the Kuroshio Large Meander Based on a High-resolution Regional Ocean Model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 卷号: 35, 期号: 11, 页码: 1362-1372
作者:  Li, Xia;  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu
Adobe PDF(16199Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：442/0  |  提交时间：2019/08/27
Kuroshio large meander  predictability  ROMS  optimal initial error growth  
The "winter predictability barrier'' for IOD events and its error growth dynamics: Results from a fully coupled GCM 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2014, 卷号: 119, 期号: 12, 页码: 8688-8708
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu;  Duan, WS (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, LASG, Beijing, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(2358Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：309/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Indian Ocean Dipole  Winter Predictability Barrier  Error Growth  
Role of parameter errors in the spring predictability barrier for ENSO events in the Zebiak-Cane model 期刊论文
ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2014, 卷号: 31, 期号: 3, 页码: 647-656
作者:  Yu Liang;  Mu Mu;  Yu, Yanshan;  Mu, M (reprint author), Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao 266071, Peoples R China.
Adobe PDF(500Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：301/0  |  提交时间：2015/06/11
Enso Predictability  Spring Predictability Barrier  Initial Errors  Parameter Errors  Error Growth  
Effects of nonlinear physical processes on optimal error growth in predictability experiments of the Kuroshio Large Meander 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-OCEANS, 2013, 卷号: 118, 期号: 12, 页码: 6425-6436
作者:  Wang, Qiang;  Mu, Mu;  Dijkstra, Henk A.;  Mu, M
Adobe PDF(896Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载：260/2  |  提交时间：2014/07/17
Error Growth  Kuroshio Large Meander  Cnop  Singular Vector