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Interactions of multiple stressors on the Bombay-duck Harpadon nehereus population in a complex estuarine ecosystem
Zhang, Zhaopeng1,2,3; Liang, Cui1,2,3; Zheng, Lei1,2,3; Cao, Wenzhuo1,2,3; Wang, Yuanchao1,2; Chen, Zhaomin1,2,3; Xian, Weiwei1,2,3
2024-11-25
发表期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
卷号953页码:14
通讯作者Liang, Cui([email protected]) ; Xian, Weiwei([email protected])
摘要In an era marked by unprecedented anthropogenic change, marine systems are increasingly subjected to interconnected and dynamic external stressors, which profoundly reshape the behavior and resilience of marine ecological components. Nevertheless, despite widespread recognition of the significance of stressor interactions, there persist notable knowledge deficits in quantifying their interactions and the specific biological consequences that result. To bridge this crucial gap, this research detected and examined the causal relationships between five key exogenous stressors in a complex estuarine ecosystem. Furthermore, a Bayesian Hierarchical Spatio-temporal modeling framework was proposed to quantitatively evaluate the distinct, interactive, and globally sensitive effects of multiple stressors on the population dynamics of a crucial fish species: Harpadon nehereus. . The results showed that interactions were detected between fisheries pressure (FP), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation index (PDO), runoff volume (RV), and sediment load (SL), with five of these interactions producing significant synergistic effects on H. nehereus biomass. The SL*PDO and RV*PDO interactions had positive synergistic effects, albeit through differing processes. The former interaction amplified the individual effects of each stressor, while the latter reversed the direction of the original impact. Indeed overall, the synergistic effect of multiple stressors was not favorable, with FP in particular posing the greatest threat to H. nehereus population. This threat was more pronounced at high SL or negative PDO phases. Therefore, local management efforts aimed at addressing multiple stressors and protecting resources should consider the findings. Additionally, although the velocity of climate change (VoCC) failed to produce significant interactions, changes in this stressor had the most sensitive impacts on the response of H. nehereus population. This research strives to enhance the dimensionality, generalizability, and flexibility of the quantification framework for marine multi-stressor interactions, aiming to foster broader research collaboration and jointly tackle the intricate pressures facing marine ecosystems.
关键词Bayesian Hierarchical Spatio-temporal model using the Nested Laplace Approximation algorithm The Yangtze Estuary Synergistic effect Fisheries pressure Sediment load Climate change
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176138
收录类别SCI
语种英语
资助项目National Key Research and Development Program of China[2023YFD2401901]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS记录号WOS:001315524400001
出版者ELSEVIER
WOS关键词SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BAYESIAN-INFERENCE ; MIXED MODELS ; MARINE ; FISHES ; ACIDIFICATION ; CONSERVATION ; MORTALITY ; VELOCITY
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/198926
专题海洋生态与环境科学重点实验室
通讯作者Liang, Cui; Xian, Weiwei
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Key Lab Marine Ecol & Environm Sci, Qingdao, Peoples R China
2.Qingdao Marine Sci & Technol Ctr, Lab Marine Ecol & Environm Sci, Qingdao, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
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Zhang, Zhaopeng,Liang, Cui,Zheng, Lei,et al. Interactions of multiple stressors on the Bombay-duck Harpadon nehereus population in a complex estuarine ecosystem[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2024,953:14.
APA Zhang, Zhaopeng.,Liang, Cui.,Zheng, Lei.,Cao, Wenzhuo.,Wang, Yuanchao.,...&Xian, Weiwei.(2024).Interactions of multiple stressors on the Bombay-duck Harpadon nehereus population in a complex estuarine ecosystem.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,953,14.
MLA Zhang, Zhaopeng,et al."Interactions of multiple stressors on the Bombay-duck Harpadon nehereus population in a complex estuarine ecosystem".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 953(2024):14.
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